ARGOS: The Google of Investment Research
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
ARGOS is a breakthrough SEC filing analysis platform that helps quantitative researchers and investment professionals discover alpha signals hidden in public filings.
The Big Idea: There are patterns in SEC filings that predict future stock returns—even though the filings are public and everyone can read them. ARGOS lets researchers test 100 pattern ideas in an afternoon instead of spending months on manual analysis.
Key Stats:
- 2.5M+ SEC filings analyzed (2000-present)
- 130M+ sentences extracted and scored
- 3,207 pre-built signal patterns
- Forward returns calculated for every filing (30d, 90d, 180d, 365d)
- Biotech sector showing measurable predictive patterns
Target Markets:
- Quantitative hedge funds
- Investment research departments (buy-side and sell-side)
- Institutional investors
- University endowments with active equity strategies
The Problem We Solve
Traditional SEC Filing Research is Painfully Slow
Old Way (2-3 months per idea):
- Come up with hypothesis ("Do FDA rejections predict stock declines?")
- Download thousands of filings manually
- Parse HTML/XML (complex, buggy)
- Write code to find the pattern
- Calculate forward stock returns
- Test if pattern predicts returns
- By the time you're done, the idea is old
Result: Researchers test maybe 10-20 ideas per year. Most alpha strategies remain undiscovered.
ARGOS Way (Minutes per idea)
- Query: "Show me filings with FDA rejection patterns"
- See instant results: pattern performance, IC statistics, forward returns
- Drill down: View actual sentences that triggered the pattern
- Export: Get backtest data or build research reports
- Iterate: Test 10 variations in the same afternoon
Result: Test hundreds of ideas, find alpha faster, stay ahead of competition.
How We Got Here: The Evolution Story
Phase 1: VLM Experiment (6 months ago)
Hypothesis: Use large language models to convert SEC sentences into structured "events"
Result: Didn't work well enough
- VLMs were expensive to run at scale
- Events were too noisy—didn't cluster into meaningful categories
- Couldn't extract predictive signal from the chaos
- Key Learning: If data doesn't cluster, you can't predict
Phase 2: Pattern-Based Events (4 months ago)
Pivot: Instead of AI generating events, we write precise pattern rules
Example: "Auditor resigned" event = collection of 15+ patterns:
- "our independent auditor.*(resigned|withdrew)"
- "received.*resignation.*from.*audit"
- "terminated.*relationship.*with.*auditor"
Result: Much better!
- Events now cluster cleanly
- Patterns are fast (Hyperscan C library)
- Can process millions of filings quickly
- Patterns are interpretable (you can explain why a signal fired)
Breakthrough Discovery: Claude (AI) is excellent at writing these patterns. We use Claude to mine patterns, then deploy them at scale.
Phase 3: The Database Platform (Current)
The Big Realization: Instead of pre-defining event categories, build a searchable database where researchers can:
- Query raw patterns or pre-built events
- See IC (information coefficient) and forward returns instantly
- Test their own pattern ideas
- Build custom strategies
This is where ARGOS was born.
The Breakthrough: Pre-Priced Signals Exist
What We Discovered
Pre-priced signals = Patterns in SEC filings that predict future stock movement, even though the filing is public and everyone could read it.
Why does this work?
- Most people don't read 10-Ks/10-Qs (they're 100+ pages of dense text)
- Critical signals are buried in risk factors, footnotes, MD&A sections
- Pattern recognition at scale is hard without automation
- Market focuses on 8-Ks (immediate news) and earnings calls
- The real signals are in quarterly/annual filings, hidden in plain sight
Example patterns showing IC:
- Certain biotech FDA language patterns
- Auditor concern patterns
- Cash runway warnings
- Management turnover signals
- Geographic risk accelerations
This is NOT insider trading. Everything is in public filings. We just found patterns the market is slow to react to.
ARGOS Product Suite
We offer four complementary products:
1. ARGOS Signals (Standard Tier)
"The Signal Library"
What it is:
- 3,207 pre-built patterns organized into 61 categories
- Categories organized by business function (auditor, management) or industry (biotech, renewable energy)
- Each category has subcategories (events/signals)
Example: Biotech Category
- Subcategories: FDA approvals, clinical trials, cash runway, going concern
- 189 patterns detecting positive and negative signals
- Scores: +90 (very positive) to -90 (very negative)
Use Cases:
- Quant Researcher: "Show me all filings with FDA breakthrough designation—what's the 90-day alpha?"
- Portfolio Manager: "Alert me when portfolio companies have cash runway warnings"
- Equity Analyst: "Which biotech risk patterns predict failures?"
Pricing Model: Subscription (per-user or firm license)
Why Buy This:
- Jump-start research with battle-tested patterns
- No need to build pattern library from scratch
- Constantly updated with new patterns
- Backed by IC analysis—we show you what works
2. ARGOS Discovery (Advanced Tier)
"The Pattern Mining Tool"
What it is:
- Full-text search across 2.5M filings
- Test your own pattern ideas
- Calculate ARGOS score and IC on the fly
- Export winning patterns to add to your signal library
Use Cases:
- Quant Team: "I think 'tariff' mentions predict supply chain issues—test it"
- Research Desk: "Do insider sales disclosures predict underperformance?"
- Strategy Team: "Find unusual language in guidance sections"
Pricing Model: Enterprise license or API pricing
Why Buy This:
- Proprietary alpha generation
- Test ideas competitors haven't thought of
- Build your own pattern library
- Iterate fast—competitive advantage
3. ARGOS MCP Server (Claude Integration)
"Talk to Your Data"
What it is:
- Model Context Protocol (MCP) server for Claude Desktop/API
- Query ARGOS database using natural language
- No SQL required, no API docs to read
- Conversational interface to 2.5M filings
How it Works:
- Install ARGOS MCP server in Claude Desktop
- Ask questions naturally:
- "Show me NVDA's recent filings with high ARGOS scores"
- "What FDA patterns triggered in AAPL's last 10-K?"
- "Find biotech companies with cash runway warnings in Q4 2024"
- Claude queries ARGOS database and explains results
Use Cases:
- Analyst: Explore data conversationally during research
- PM: Quick checks without opening dashboards
- Strategist: Ad-hoc queries for client meetings
- Researcher: Iterate on ideas in natural language
Technology Edge:
- Model Context Protocol is brand new (2024/2025)
- Cutting-edge AI integration
- Works in Claude Desktop (chat interface) or Claude API (programmatic)
- Natural language beats SQL for exploratory research
4. ARGOS Web UI (Visual Dashboards)
"See Your Signals"
What it is:
- Web-based dashboards for visualizing ARGOS data
- Interactive charts, tables, and drill-downs
- Pattern performance analysis
- Company timelines with signal overlays
Features:
- Filing Explorer: Filter and search filings by ticker, date, ARGOS score, patterns
- Pattern Performance: See which signals predict returns (bar charts, histograms, scatter plots)
- Company Deep Dive: All filings for a ticker with trend analysis
- Sentence Viewer: See actual text that triggered patterns
- Stats Dashboard: Database overview, top patterns, score distributions
Target Customers
We have strong hypotheses but need market feedback. Here's our thinking:
Primary: Quantitative Hedge Funds
Profile:
- AUM: $500M - $50B
- Strategy: Long/short equity, event-driven, quant strategies
- Team size: 5-50 researchers
- Tech-savvy, data-driven
Pain Point: Testing alpha ideas is too slow. By the time you validate a pattern, it's crowded.
Value Prop: Test 100 ideas this month. Find alpha before competitors.
Budget Holder: Head of Quantitative Research, CIO
Price Point: $50K-$500K/year (depends on firm size, usage)
Secondary: Investment Research Departments
Profile:
- Buy-side: Asset managers, pension funds, family offices
- Sell-side: Investment bank equity research
- Team size: 10-100 analysts
Pain Point: Manually reading filings is impossible at scale. Miss critical signals.
Value Prop:
- Generate research reports faster
- Find signals analysts miss
- Cover more companies with same team
Price Point: $25K-$200K/year
Tertiary: Investor Relations (Cross-Sell Opportunity!)
Profile:
- Public companies (our existing IR customers!)
- IR officers need competitive intelligence
Pain Point: Board asks "What are competitors saying in their filings?" Manual process.
Value Prop:
- Automated competitor monitoring
- Generate competitive analysis reports
- Identify industry trends from filings
Price Point: $10K-$50K/year (lower tier, simpler use case)
Cross-Sell Angle: We already sell IR services to 1,000+ public companies. Add-on sale.
Competition: What Else Exists?
Traditional SEC Search Engines
Examples: SEC EDGAR (free), 10-K Wizard (our legacy product), Intelligize
What They Do: Boolean search, keyword filters, document download
ARGOS Advantage:
- We pre-process 2.5M filings (they search on demand)
- We calculate IC and forward returns (they show documents)
- We have 3,207 pre-built patterns (they have search box)
- We predict returns (they find documents)
Analogy: They're Ctrl+F. We're Google with predictive analytics.
Bloomberg Terminal / CapIQ
What They Do: Everything (news, prices, fundamentals, filings search)
ARGOS Advantage:
- Deep focus on SEC filings (we're specialists)
- Pattern-based signal detection (they don't have this)
- Natural language queries via Claude (they have command-line)
- Pre-calculated IC analysis (they don't predict)
Positioning: We're the SEC filing specialist tool. Bloomberg is the Swiss Army knife.
Price: Bloomberg costs $24K/year per seat. We're more specialized, less expensive (for most tiers).
Alternative Data Vendors
Examples: RavenPack (news sentiment), Quiver (Reddit/Twitter), 7Park (credit card data)
ARGOS Advantage:
- SEC filings are free, public, standardized (no data sourcing risk)
- Longer history (2000+) than most alt data
- Legal/compliance friendly (not scraping social media)
- Pattern approach is transparent (you can audit it)
Positioning: We're alternative data FROM public filings. Low risk, high signal.
Pricing Strategy
Note: These are starting points. Flexible based on customer size and use case.
ARGOS Signals (Standard)
- Tier 1 (Small fund/team): $25K/year (5 users)
- Tier 2 (Medium fund): $75K/year (15 users)
- Tier 3 (Large fund/enterprise): $150K+/year (custom)
Includes: Access to 3,207 patterns, Web UI dashboards, API access, Email support
ARGOS Discovery (Advanced)
- Add-on: +$50K-$200K/year (depends on query volume)
- Requires: ARGOS Signals subscription
Includes: Full-text pattern search, Custom pattern testing, Bulk exports, Priority support
ARGOS MCP Server (Claude Integration)
- Add-on: +$10K-$25K/year
- Requires: Claude Pro/Team subscription (user provides)
ARGOS IR Add-On (Competitive Intelligence)
- For existing IR customers: $10K-$25K/year
- Standalone: $15K-$40K/year
Go-to-Market Strategy
Phase 1: Friendly Pilots (Months 1-3)
Goal: Get 3-5 pilot customers, learn fast
Targets:
- Smaller quant funds ($500M-$2B AUM) - easier to engage
- Existing IR customers who want competitive intel
- Research boutiques (10-20 analysts)
Offer: 50% discount for first 6 months, in exchange for:
- Weekly feedback calls
- Willingness to be a case study
- Feature requests and bug reports
Phase 2: Case Study Amplification (Months 4-6)
Goal: Use pilot success to close 5-10 more customers
Tactics:
- Write case studies (with pilot permission)
- Create demo videos showing real results
- Speaking engagements: Quant conferences, investment forums
- Content marketing: "The Hidden Alpha in SEC Filings" white paper
Phase 3: Sales Specialization (Months 7-12)
Goal: Build repeatable sales motion
Actions:
- Hire equity markets sales specialist (knows buy-side language)
- Create standardized pitch deck
- Build self-serve demo environment
- Expand into additional verticals (PE, consulting?)
Key Talking Points for Sales Calls
Opening Hook
"We help quantitative researchers find alpha in public SEC filings that most investors miss. Imagine testing 100 pattern ideas in an afternoon instead of spending months on manual analysis."
Value Prop (30 seconds)
"ARGOS has pre-processed 2.5 million SEC filings and tested 3,207 signal patterns. We show you which patterns predict stock returns, extract the relevant sentences, and let you query everything conversationally through Claude. It's like having a research analyst who's read every filing and knows exactly what matters."
Differentiation
"Traditional SEC search engines just help you find documents. We help you find alpha. Our patterns detect signals the market is slow to price in."
Risk Reversal
"We offer 3-month pilots at 50% off. If you don't find value, you're only out $X,XXX. But if you find one alpha signal, it pays for itself 100x."
The Big Picture: Why ARGOS Matters
The Opportunity
$10B+ spent annually on investment research tools and alternative data
Most of that money goes to:
- Bloomberg terminals
- Alternative data vendors
- Internal tool development
ARGOS taps into that budget by being:
- More specialized than Bloomberg (deeper on SEC filings)
- More transparent than alt data (you can audit our patterns)
- Faster than building internally (ready now, not in 18 months)
The Vision
Make SEC filing analysis as fast as Google search
Today: Filing research is slow, manual, frustrating
Future: Natural language queries return actionable alpha signals instantly
We're building the infrastructure layer for SEC filing intelligence
Conclusion: The Pitch in One Sentence
ARGOS finds alpha signals hidden in plain sight—in public SEC filings that most investors don't fully analyze—and makes testing pattern ideas 100x faster than traditional research methods.